# -*- coding: utf-8 -*- import datetime import logging import markdown import textwrap from flask import ( render_template, flash, url_for, redirect, request, session, abort, ) from flask_login import current_user from app import db from app.decorators import login_required from app.models import Annotation, Dataset, Task from app.main import bp from app.main.forms import NextForm from app.main.routes import RUBRIC from app.utils.datasets import load_data_for_chart, get_demo_true_cps from app.utils.tasks import generate_user_task LOGGER = logging.getLogger(__name__) # textwrap.dedent is used mostly for code formatting. DEMO_DATA = { 1: { "dataset": {"name": "demo_100"}, "learn": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ Welcome to AnnotateChange, an annotation app for change point detection. Our goal with AnnotateChange is to create a dataset of human-annotated time series to use in the development and evaluation of change point algorithms. We really appreciate that you've agreed to help us with this! Without your help this project would not be possible. In the next few pages, we'll introduce you to the problem of change point detection. We'll look at a few datasets and see different types of changes that can occur. Thanks again for your help!""" ) ) }, "annotate": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ Please mark the point(s) in the time series where an **abrupt change** in the behaviour of the series occurs. The goal is to define segments of the time series that are separated by places where these abrupt changes occur. You can mark a point by clicking on it. A marked point can be unmarked by clicking on it again. Click "Submit" when you have finished marking the change points or "No change points" when you believe there are none. You can reset the graph with the "Reset" button. """ ) ) }, "evaluate": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ This first example has **one** change point. Not all datasets that you'll encounter in this program have exactly one change point. It is up to you to see whether a time series contains a change point or not, and if it does, to see if there is more than one. Don't worry if you weren't exactly correct on the first try. The goal of this introduction is to familiarise yourself with time series data and with change point detection in particular. Note that in general we consider the change point to be the point where the new behaviour *starts*, not the last point of the current behaviour.""" ) ) }, }, 2: { "dataset": {"name": "demo_200"}, "learn": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ In the previous example, you've seen a relatively simple dataset where a *step change* occurred at a certain point in time. A step change is one of the simplest types of change points that can occur. Click "Continue" to move on to the next example.""" ) ) }, "annotate": {"text": RUBRIC}, "evaluate": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ The dataset in the previous example shows again a time series with step changes, but here there are **two** change points. This is important to keep in mind, as there can be more than one change point in a dataset.""" ) ) }, }, 3: { "dataset": {"name": "demo_300"}, "learn": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ In the previous examples we've introduced *step changes*. However, these are not the only types of change points that can occur, as we'll see in the next example.""" ) ) }, "annotate": {"text": RUBRIC}, "evaluate": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ This time series shows an example where a change occurs in the **variance** of the data. At the change point the variance of the noise changes abruptly from a relatively low noise variance to a high noise variance. This is another type of change point that can occur.""" ) ) }, }, 4: { "dataset": {"name": "demo_400"}, "learn": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ So far we have seen two types of change points: step changes (also known as mean shift) and variance changes.""" ) ) }, "annotate": {"text": RUBRIC}, "evaluate": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ Remember that it's also possible for there to be *no change points* in a dataset. It can sometimes be difficult to tell whether a dataset has change points or not. In that case, it's important to remember that we are looking for points where the behaviour of the time series changes *abruptly*.""" ) ) }, }, 5: { "dataset": {"name": "demo_500"}, "learn": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ Change points mark places in the time series where the behaviour changes *abruptly*. While **outliers** are data points that do not adhere to the prevailing behaviour of the time series, they are not generally considered change points because the behaviour of the time series before and after the outlier is the same. """ ) ) }, "annotate": {"text": RUBRIC}, "evaluate": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ Outliers are quite common in real-world time series data, and not all change point detection methods are robust against these observations. Note that short periods that consist of several consecutive outlying data points could be considered an abrupt change in behaviour of the time series. If you see this, use your intuition to guide you.""" ) ) }, }, 6: { "dataset": {"name": "demo_600"}, "learn": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ So far we've seen *step changes*, *variance changes*, and time series with *outliers*. Can you think of another type of change that can occur?""" ) ) }, "annotate": {"text": RUBRIC}, "evaluate": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ What we see here is a change in *trend*. Changes in trend are not always change points: gradual changes in direction are common and should not be considered to be *abrupt* changes. For trend changes it's not always easy to figure out exactly where the change occurs, so it's harder to get it exactly right. Use your intuition and keep in mind that it is normal for the observations to be noisy.""" ) ) }, }, 7: { "dataset": {"name": "demo_650"}, "learn": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ The datasets we've seen so far are all relatively well behaved, but real-world time series are often more chaotic. """ ) ) }, "annotate": {"text": RUBRIC}, "evaluate": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ This was an example of a random walk without a change point. Some time series data will look similar to this random walk, in the sense that it varies over time and changes, but doesn't actually change *abruptly*. This is important to keep in mind, because not all datasets that you'll see will necessarily have change points (it's up to you to decide!) """ ) ) }, }, 8: { "dataset": {"name": "demo_700"}, "learn": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ It is not uncommon for time series data from the real world to display **seasonal variation**, for instance because certain days of the week are more busy than others. Seasonality can make it harder to find the change points in the dataset (if there are any at all). Try to follow the pattern of seasonality, and check whether the pattern changes in one of the ways we've seen previously.""" ) ) }, "annotate": {"text": RUBRIC}, "evaluate": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ As you can see from this example, changes in the periodicity of the seasonal effect can occur as well. We expect that these kinds of changes are quite rare, but it's nevertheless good to be aware of them. It is also important to note that seasonal effects on their own do not constitute change points. For instance, a shift from the winter season to the summer will show a change in passenger numbers at the airport, but this will generally not be an *abrupt* change. """ ) ) }, }, 9: { "dataset": {"name": "demo_800"}, "learn": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ In practice time series datasets are not just one dimensional, but can be multidimensional too. A change point in such a time series does not necessarily occur in all dimensions simultaneously. It is therefore important to evaluate the behaviour of each dimension individually, as well as in relation to each other.""" ) ) }, "annotate": {"text": RUBRIC}, "evaluate": { "text": markdown.markdown( textwrap.dedent( """ In this example of a multidimensional time series, the change only occurred in a single dimension.""" ) ) }, }, } def demo_performance(user_id): score = 0 for demo_id in DEMO_DATA: dataset = Dataset.query.filter_by( name=DEMO_DATA[demo_id]["dataset"]["name"] ).first() task = Task.query.filter_by( annotator_id=user_id, dataset_id=dataset.id ).first() annotations = ( Annotation.query.join(Task, Annotation.task) .filter_by(id=task.id) .all() ) true_cp = get_demo_true_cps(dataset.name) user_cp = [a.cp_index for a in annotations if not a.cp_index is None] if len(true_cp) == len(user_cp) == 0: score += 1 continue n_correct, n_window, n_fp, n_fn = metrics(true_cp, user_cp) n_tp = n_correct + n_window f1 = (2 * n_tp) / (2 * n_tp + n_fp + n_fn) score += f1 score /= len(DEMO_DATA) return score def redirect_user(demo_id, phase_id): last_demo_id = max(DEMO_DATA.keys()) demo_last_phase_id = 3 if demo_id == last_demo_id and phase_id == demo_last_phase_id: # User is already introduced (happens if they redo the demo) if current_user.is_introduced: return redirect(url_for("main.index")) # check user performance if demo_performance(current_user.id) < 0.75: flash( "Unfortunately your performance on the introduction " "datasets was not as high as we would like. Please go " "through the introduction one more time to make sure " "that you understand and are comfortable with change " "point detection." ) return redirect(url_for("main.index")) # mark user as introduced current_user.is_introduced = True db.session.commit() # assign a task to the user task = generate_user_task(current_user) if task is None: return redirect(url_for("main.index")) db.session.add(task) db.session.commit() return redirect(url_for("main.index")) elif phase_id == demo_last_phase_id: demo_id += 1 phase_id = 1 return redirect( url_for("main.demo", demo_id=demo_id, phase_id=phase_id) ) else: phase_id += 1 return redirect( url_for("main.demo", demo_id=demo_id, phase_id=phase_id) ) def process_annotations(demo_id): annotation = request.get_json() if annotation["identifier"] != demo_id: LOGGER.error( "User %s returned a task id in the demo that wasn't the demo id." % current_user.username ) flash( "An internal error occurred, the administrator has been notified.", "error", ) return redirect(url_for("main.index")) retval = [] if not annotation["changepoints"] is None: retval = [int(cp["x"]) for cp in annotation["changepoints"]] # If the user is already introduced, we assume that their demo annotations # are already in the database, and thus we don't put them back in (because # we want the original ones). if current_user.is_introduced: return retval dataset = Dataset.query.filter_by( name=DEMO_DATA[demo_id]["dataset"]["name"] ).first() task = Task.query.filter_by( annotator_id=current_user.id, dataset_id=dataset.id ).first() # this happens if the user returns to the same demo page, but hasn't # completed the full demo yet. Same as above, not updating because we want # the originals. if not task is None: return retval # Create a new task task = Task(annotator_id=current_user.id, dataset_id=dataset.id) task.done = False task.annotated_on = None db.session.add(task) db.session.commit() if annotation["changepoints"] is None: ann = Annotation(cp_index=None, task_id=task.id) db.session.add(ann) db.session.commit() else: for cp in annotation["changepoints"]: ann = Annotation(cp_index=cp["x"], task_id=task.id) db.session.add(ann) db.session.commit() # mark task as done task.done = True task.annotated_on = datetime.datetime.utcnow() db.session.commit() return retval def metrics(true_cp, user_cp, k=5): true_cp = [int(x) for x in true_cp] user_cp = [int(x) for x in user_cp] correct = [] window = [] incorrect = [] rem_true = list(true_cp) for cp in user_cp: if cp in rem_true: correct.append(cp) rem_true.remove(cp) user_cp = [x for x in user_cp if not x in correct] for cp in user_cp: to_delete = [] for y in rem_true: if abs(cp - y) < k: window.append(cp) to_delete.append(y) break for y in to_delete: rem_true.remove(y) user_cp = [x for x in user_cp if not x in window] for cp in user_cp: incorrect.append(cp) n_correct = len(correct) n_window = len(window) n_fp = len(incorrect) n_fn = len(rem_true) return n_correct, n_window, n_fp, n_fn def get_user_feedback(true_cp, user_cp): """Generate HTML to show as feedback to the user""" n_correct, n_window, n_fp, n_fn = metrics(true_cp, user_cp) text = "\n\n*Feedback:*\n\n" if len(true_cp) == len(user_cp) == 0: text += " - *Correctly identified that there are no change points.*\n" if len(true_cp) > 0: text += f"- *Number of changepoints exactly correct: {n_correct}.*\n" if n_window: text += f"- *Number of points correct within a 5-step window: {n_window}.*\n" if n_fp: text += f"- *Number of incorrectly identified points: {n_fp}.*\n" if n_fn: text += f"- *Number of missed change points: {n_fn}.*" text.rstrip() text = markdown.markdown(text) return text def demo_learn(demo_id, form): demo_data = DEMO_DATA[demo_id]["learn"] return render_template( "demo/learn.html", title="Introduction – %i" % demo_id, text=demo_data["text"], form=form, ) def demo_annotate(demo_id): demo_data = DEMO_DATA[demo_id]["annotate"] dataset = Dataset.query.filter_by( name=DEMO_DATA[demo_id]["dataset"]["name"] ).first() if dataset is None: LOGGER.error( "Demo requested unavailable dataset: %s" % DEMO_DATA[demo_id]["dataset"]["name"] ) flash( "An internal error occured. The administrator has been notified. We apologise for the inconvenience, please try again later.", "error", ) return redirect(url_for("main.index")) chart_data = load_data_for_chart(dataset.name, dataset.md5sum) is_multi = len(chart_data["chart_data"]["values"]) > 1 return render_template( "annotate/index.html", title="Introduction – %i" % demo_id, data=chart_data, rubric=demo_data["text"], identifier=demo_id, is_multi=is_multi, ) def demo_evaluate(demo_id, phase_id, form): demo_data = DEMO_DATA[demo_id]["evaluate"] user_changepoints = session.get("user_changepoints", "__UNK__") if user_changepoints == "__UNK__": flash( "The previous step of the demo was not completed successfully. Please try again.", "error", ) return redirect( url_for("main.demo", demo_id=demo_id, phase_id=phase_id - 1) ) dataset = Dataset.query.filter_by( name=DEMO_DATA[demo_id]["dataset"]["name"] ).first() chart_data = load_data_for_chart(dataset.name, dataset.md5sum) is_multi = len(chart_data["chart_data"]["values"]) > 1 true_changepoints = get_demo_true_cps(dataset.name) if true_changepoints is None: flash( "An internal error occurred, the administrator has been notified. We apologise for the inconvenience, please try again later.", "error", ) return redirect(url_for("main.index")) feedback = get_user_feedback(true_changepoints, user_changepoints) annotations_true = [dict(index=x) for x in true_changepoints] annotations_user = [dict(index=x) for x in user_changepoints] return render_template( "demo/evaluate.html", title="Introduction – %i" % demo_id, data=chart_data, annotations_user=annotations_user, annotations_true=annotations_true, text=demo_data["text"], feedback=feedback, form=form, is_multi=is_multi, ) @bp.route( "/introduction/", defaults={"demo_id": 1, "phase_id": 1}, methods=("GET", "POST"), ) @bp.route( "/introduction//", defaults={"phase_id": 1}, methods=("GET", "POST"), ) @bp.route( "/introduction//", methods=("GET", "POST") ) @login_required def demo(demo_id, phase_id): form = NextForm() if request.method == "POST": if form.validate_on_submit(): return redirect_user(demo_id, phase_id) else: user_changepoints = process_annotations(demo_id) session["user_changepoints"] = user_changepoints return url_for("main.demo", demo_id=demo_id, phase_id=phase_id + 1) if phase_id == 1: return demo_learn(demo_id, form) elif phase_id == 2: return demo_annotate(demo_id) elif phase_id == 3: return demo_evaluate(demo_id, phase_id, form) else: abort(404)